Quality of Earnings and Dilution Risk with Ryan Telford, Head of Evidence-Based Research at MicroCapClub
In this episode of the Planet MicroCap Podcast, I spoke with Ryan Telford, Head of Evidence-Based Research at MicroCapClub, where he breaks down why headline profitability and earnings beats can be misleading, and how investors should instead focus on quality of earnings—cash flow support, reinvestment discipline, and earnings stability—along with dilution risk as the true predictors of performance. We discuss the data showing how high-quality earners significantly outperform low-quality peers globally, why many profitable microcaps still underperform after strong quarters, and how looming equity raises can act as a hidden “tax” on shareholder returns. We mention a number of companies and sectors during this conversation, and I’m not a shareholder in any of them.
Chapters:
00:00 Introduction to Microcap Investing and Research
03:46 Understanding Quality of Earnings in Microcaps
08:49 The Quality of Earnings Scorecard Explained
13:43 Analyzing Low vs. High Quality Earnings
18:34 Modernizing the Quality of Earnings Framework
23:38 Transitioning to Dilution Risk in Microcaps
27:39 Market Reactions and Equity-Debt Ratios
31:02 Dilution Trends in Micro Caps
32:14 Understanding Dilution Risk Scorecard
38:09 Correlation Between Earnings Quality and Dilution Risk
46:40 Returns Based on Dilution Risk
50:23 Indicators of Potential Dilution Risk
For more information about MicroCapClub, please visit: https://microcapclub.com/
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The purpose of this conversation is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell any security. Planet MicroCap Holdings LLC and MicroCapClub LLC are not registered investment advisors. Planet MicroCap Holdings LLC, MicroCapClub LLC, its partners, contractors, members, subscribers, guests, and affiliates may or may not hold positions in one or more of the securities mentioned on this program and may trade in such securities at any time. Do your own due diligence and seek counsel from a registered investment advisor before trading in any security.
